Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000741 0.000848 0.000960 0.001088 0.001228 0.001378 0.001550
2024-12-22 0.000571 0.000716 0.000881 0.001082 0.001316 0.001579 0.001896
2024-12-29 0.000477 0.000638 0.000829 0.001070 0.001364 0.001706 0.002130
2025-01-05 0.000410 0.000582 0.000794 0.001072 0.001421 0.001839 0.002373
2025-01-12 0.000353 0.000528 0.000753 0.001058 0.001452 0.001936 0.002569
2025-01-19 0.000303 0.000478 0.000712 0.001038 0.001471 0.002015 0.002739
2025-01-26 0.000277 0.000457 0.000705 0.001060 0.001542 0.002160 0.002995
2025-02-02 0.000254 0.000437 0.000697 0.001078 0.001606 0.002295 0.003241
2025-02-09 0.000223 0.000402 0.000665 0.001060 0.001620 0.002363 0.003400
2025-02-16 0.000195 0.000369 0.000632 0.001039 0.001626 0.002419 0.003542
2025-02-23 0.000179 0.000353 0.000624 0.001051 0.001679 0.002539 0.003770
2025-03-02 0.000164 0.000337 0.000613 0.001058 0.001724 0.002647 0.003985
2025-03-09 0.000142 0.000307 0.000579 0.001029 0.001715 0.002682 0.004103
2025-03-16 0.000122 0.000279 0.000546 0.000999 0.001704 0.002713 0.004214
2025-03-23 0.000110 0.000263 0.000531 0.000996 0.001731 0.002799 0.004404
2025-03-30 0.000099 0.000248 0.000518 0.000995 0.001761 0.002888 0.004599
2025-04-06 0.000088 0.000232 0.000499 0.000983 0.001773 0.002950 0.004756
2025-04-13 0.000077 0.000214 0.000477 0.000963 0.001772 0.002993 0.004885
2025-04-20 0.000073 0.000209 0.000479 0.000985 0.001837 0.003133 0.005159
2025-04-27 0.000068 0.000204 0.000478 0.001001 0.001893 0.003264 0.005421
2025-05-04 0.000060 0.000190 0.000459 0.000985 0.001895 0.003309 0.005557
2025-05-11 0.000052 0.000175 0.000439 0.000964 0.001889 0.003343 0.005675
2025-05-18 0.000049 0.000170 0.000436 0.000976 0.001936 0.003460 0.005921